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š Nordstrom Family's Power Play
Plus: VC firms are seeing higher partner turnover, Nissan and Honda's $58B merger, Container Store filed for bankruptcy, and Squid Game 2 drops on Dec 26.
Together With
"The ability to do nothing is one of the most underappreciated skills in investing." ā Morgan Housel
Good Morning and Happy Christmas Eve! Nissan and Honda announced a $58 billion merger plan to create the worldās no. 3 automaker. The Container Store filed for bankruptcy, echoing recent moves by fellow retailers Big Lots and Party City amid rising competition Walmart and Amazon. VC firms are seeing higher partner turnover, and Netflix is set to release Squid Game season 2 on December 26.
Consumer confidence is slipping as the post-election boost fades, and analysts are warning Wall Street to brace for a potential AI slowdown in 2025.
Plus, Silicon Valleyās White House influence is growing, Luigi Mangione plead not guilty to the murder of Brian Thompson, and when you should be having work meetings hybrid or in-person.
End the year by rewarding your future self. Maximize your coverage and savingsāschedule a year-end life insurance review with Optifino today.
Weāll be taking tomorrow off and resuming regular scheduled programming on December 26th. Have a wonderful Christmas!
SQUEEZ OF THE DAY
Nordstromās Family Power Play
Nordstrom, the 123-year-old luxury retailer, is going private in a $6.25 billion deal led by its founding family and Mexican retail conglomerate El Puerto de Liverpool.
The Nordstrom family will retain majority control with a 50.1% stake, while Liverpool will hold the remaining 49.9%. The transaction, including $1.2 billion in bank financing, is expected to close in the first half of 2025.
Nordstrom is known for its iconic NYC flagship store on 57th and Broadway, as well as its high-end products. But the company had been struggling with growing online competition and changing consumer habits away from luxury goods.
Once valued at nearly $15 billion, Nordstromās market value had fallen to just over $4 billion in recent years. Shareholders will receive $24.25 per shareāa 42% premium compared to March, when buyout rumors began.
This is not the first time Nordstrom has attempted to go private. A similar effort in 2018 with private equity firm Leonard Green & Partners had failed. But the challenges facing department stores have only grown since then.
By stepping away from the public markets, the company aims to refocus on long-term strategies to counter e-commerce giants like Amazon and adapt to changing consumer preferences.
Takeaway: With over a century of retail experience, Nordstrom has the legacy and brand recognition to navigate this transition. But the broader challenges facing department stores remain significant, as more consumers shop online and prioritize price over brand loyalty. Going private may give Nordstrom the breathing room it needs to reinvent itself in a highly competitive retail landscape without Wall Street breathing down its neck.
PRESENTED BY OPTIFINO
Are You Overpaying for Your Life Insurance?
Life insurance premiums can vary by as much as 60% for the same product across carriers. With nearly half of agents tied to specific providers, many policyholders end up overpaying for policies that donāt match their goals.
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A 230% increase in coverage, or
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Life insurance isnāt just about protectionāitās a tool to:
Secure tax-free retirement income
Reduce or eliminate estate taxes
Cover long-term care
Get an expert review today to ensure your policy is working as hard as you are.*
HEADLINES
Top Reads
Honda and Nissan unveil plan for $58bn merger by 2026 (FT)
Automakers agree to consider merger, would create 3rd largest auto group (Fox)
The Container Store files for bankruptcy, insists it's here to stay (Fox)
Netflix hopes to recapture āSquid Gameā magic (NYT)
Venture Capital partners are leaving big firms in droves (BB)
Consumer confidence drops as election boost fades (Axios)
Wall Street needs to prepare for an AI slowdown in 2025 (BB)
Luigi Mangione pleads not guilty to murder of health insurance CEO (CNBC)
Muni market's record year for mega deals gives bankers a win (YF)
Xerox to buy Lexmark for $1.5B (WSJ)
Steve Ballmer, the non-investing guru of investing (WSJ)
Fed announces changes to bank stress tests in light of legal rulings (YF)
Rocket Homes accused of illegal kickback scheme (CNN)
Silicon Valleyās White House influence grows (CNBC)
IBM's new enterprise AI models are more powerful than OpenAI or Google (ZDNet)
CAPITAL PULSE
Markets Rundown
Stocks Start Holiday Week Higher
Equity markets rallied on Monday, reversing earlier losses as communication and technology stocks led the charge.
Global markets followed suit, with Asian stocks boosted by last weekās lower-than-expected U.S. PCE inflation readings and optimism surrounding the proposed Honda-Nissan merger, which could stabilize Nissan amid declining sales.
The U.S. dollar strengthened against major currencies, while WTI oil dipped on expectations of a supply surplus and continued dollar strength.
Government Shutdown Averted
Congress passed a continuing budget resolution late Friday, which President Biden signed into law on Saturday, ending fears of a government shutdown.
The bipartisan bill funds the government at current levels for three months while providing additional disaster relief and farm aid. However, efforts to include a Treasury debt ceiling increase, requested by President-elect Trump, failed due to insufficient support.
This resolution is a positive signal for markets, as it removes risks of disruptions to government services and delayed paychecks.
Bond Yields Hit Multi-Month Highs
The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.59%, its highest level since May, continuing its upward trend since Septemberās lows.
The yield has increased by 95 basis points over the past few months, reflecting reduced expectations for additional Fed rate cuts amid slowing disinflation and a resilient labor market.
Markets now anticipate only one more rate cut in the next year as the Federal Reserve adopts a cautious approach to easing.
Movers & Shakers
(+) Honda ($HMC) +13% after the automaker announced plans to merge with Nissan.
(+) Xerox ($XRX) +13% after the company bought Lexmark for $1.5 billion.
(ā) MicroStrategy ($MSTR) -9% after selling stock to buy more Bitcoin.
Private Dealmaking
Nordstrom to go private in $6.25 billion deal with founding family
Xerox to buy Lexmark for $1.5 billion
SpinSci, a patient engagement tools provider, raised $53 million
Nuitee, a hotel booking startup, raised $48 million
Decart, a GenAI research lab, raised $32 million
Blackflip, a generative AI startup, raised $30 million
For more PE, VC & M&A deals, subscribe to our Buysiders newsletter.
BOOK OF THE DAY
The Power and the Money
In The Power and the Money, acclaimed presidential historian Tevi Troy takes readers on a riveting journey through the biggest battles between CEOs and the nationās commander in chief. He unearths the untold stories ā both political and personal ā that have shaped America.
Troy shows how the vast reach of the federal government become a critical fact of life for every business, entrepreneur, and innovator. Today, companies find themselves navigating a competitive landscape defined by stringent regulations, so top CEOs and key business leaders must influence the legislative and regulatory system.
As public affairs teams and government relations experts put forward strategies to survive Washington, CEOs have become the most important warrior on the frontlines. The Power and the Money shows how some of the nationās most important CEOs forged (and fumbled) relationships with the president.
Troy also shows how the most powerful man in the world depends on CEOs. CEOs provide assistance in the form of personnel, policy insights, and campaign cash, but they also become essential foils for presidents, serving as both allies and convenient enemies.
The Power and the Money reveals an intricate web of power, where CEOs need presidents, and presidents need CEOs. Troy shows how each must step carefully ā or risk unpredictable costs and collateral damage.
From heavyweights John D. Rockefeller and Mark Zuckerberg to Katherine Graham, Elon Musk, and more, Troy takes readers inside the friendships and the conflicts that shook the American economy and re-shaped America.
Drawing on his experiences as bestselling historian and former senior White House aide, Troy offers unique insights and details that shed light on the growing, intertwining behemoths of government and big business ā and what it means for the future of our nation.
āWhen U.S. presidents clash with corporate titans, what tips the balance of power?ā
DAILY VISUAL
When People Finish Holiday Shopping
PRESENTED BY THE AVERAGE JOE
Guide to Becoming the Master of Coin
Step 1. Travel back to the period 298 A.C.
Step 2. Don't forget to take The Average Joe with you.
Their free financial newsletters will help you become a better investor and master of coinā¦
Youāll be knowledgeable enough to run the kingās royal treasury.
Clever enough to build a commodity empire selling bushels of wheat (or trade it all away for some brick).
Stay up to date with the economic state of each of the Seven Kingdoms.
Back to the present: The Joeās free financial newsletters are short, simple and concise ā jam packed with market trends, news, and insights that are relevant and impactful.
DAILY ACUMEN
Caffeine
Caffeine is a go-to energy booster, but its effects on sleep can be more far-reaching than we realize.
A recent study shows that while a single cup (100 mg) has minimal impact even four hours before bed, a higher dose (400 mg, or four cups) can disrupt sleep up to 12 hours before bedtime.
These disruptionsāless deep sleep, more awakenings, and shorter restāoften go unnoticed, as subjective sleep quality doesnāt always match the objective damage.
This hidden impact reminds us to be mindful of caffeineās timing and dosage.
Small changes, like cutting back in the afternoon, can improve both sleep and energy the next day. Your evening brew might be costing you the rest you need.
ENLIGHTENMENT
Short Squeez Picks
MEME-A-PALOOZA
Memes of the Day
Aināt no PE firm better than Dad Capital Partners
ā Overheard on Wall Street (@OHWallStreet)
4:04 PM ā¢ Dec 23, 2024
How your email finds me this week
ā Freak in the Sheets (@FreakinDSheet)
1:20 PM ā¢ Dec 22, 2024
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