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🍋 Bulls and Backstabbers
Why Wall Street's done with Carl Icahn, plus SBF is back behind bars, and Gen-Z is wrecking Planet Fitness.
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“On Wall Street if you want a friend, buy a dog.” — Bill Ackman
Good Morning! SBF had his bail revoked on Friday - turns out he was annoying prosecutors a little too much. Between witness tampering, leaking his ex-girlfriend's diary, and claiming to use a VPN to stream the Super Bowl, he's finding himself behind bars again.
Wall Street's optimism about the U.S. economy's resilience is growing, but the warning signals from the inverted yield curve are starting to demand attention. High-schoolers are reaping free memberships at Planet Fitness, while adults' patience wears thin with TikTok workouts and Gen-Z's gym etiquette.
Amazon’s starting to caution employees who haven’t been back to the office consistently. And dating apps are starting to use AI - sometimes in the form of fictional partners, sometimes as advisor, trainer, ghostwriter or matchmaker.
SQUEEZ OF THE DAY
Bulls and Backstabbers
It's been a dramatic twist in Carl Icahn’s fortunes. He passed control of his nearly $20 billion empire to his son in 2020, and should be sailing into the sunset. But now? The 87-year-old is back at the helm again and fighting for the company's survival. And as it turns out, not everyone on Wall Street is bummed to see his downfall.
Carl Icahn has been in the game for six decades. He made his name in the 1980s and became an iconic activist investor, pressuring companies like Apple to make changes to boost their stock price.
Fast forward to May 2023, when Hindenburg Research unleashed a barrage of criticism, asserting that Icahn Enterprises ($IEP) was a house of cards, its valuation inflated, and assets overpriced. The aftermath was swift and brutal – $IEP lost nearly 50% of its value in mere months, erasing roughly half of Icahn's personal fortune.
And with Icahn's reputation tarnished, he's trying to reforge his legacy by returning to activism.
Takeaway: Icahn didn’t make too many friends on Wall Street and the morning Icahn’s shares plummeted by over 30%, an old adversary, Bill Ackman, couldn't resist a taunting tweet: "On Wall Street, if you want a friend, buy a dog."
CAPITAL PULSE
Markets Rundown
Stocks dipped lower after a week of sluggish earnings.
Movers & Shakers
(+) UBS ($UBS) +6% after the bank ended a roughly $10 billion loss protection agreement with Credit Suisse.
(+) Krispy Kreme ($DNUT) +4% after JPMorgan reiterated its overweight rating.
(–) Coinbase ($COIN) -3% after Mizuho reiterated its underperform rating, says retail traders are using Robinhood instead.
Private Dealmaking
IBM completed its purchase of Apptio for $4.6 billion
Moove, a Nigerian vehicle financing startup, raised $76 million
Georgiamune, an antibody developer, raised $75 million
Verdagy, a developer of electrolyzer tech, raised $73 million
Persefoni, a climate management and accounting platform, raised $50 million
Lula, a “Stripe for insurance” startup, raised $35 million
Get access to private deal flow here.
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HEADLINES
Top Reads
Private equity firms’ return expectations remain high despite M&A slowdown (II)
Yellow’s bankruptcy becomes a Wall Street battle (Axios)
Americans are still ransacking their retirement savings (YF)
How Amazon is racing to catch up to Google and Microsoft in generative AI race (CNBC)
How WeWork finally arrived at the brink (Axios)
Credit Suisse investors plan lawsuit challenging UBS buyout (Reuters)
David Solomon is stuck without a clear lifeline (NYT)
1 in 3 Gen-Zers say they feel guilty when they don't work on vacation (CNBC)
WeWork’s collapse and impact on NYC real estate market (YF)
Former Xerox CEO on her private equity path (BB)
BOOK OF THE DAY
Guide to Power & Influence
Drawing from current-day lessons and the wisdom of hundreds of drivers of change in all fields of business, The Ultimate Guide to Power & Influence is Robert Dilenschneider’s latest guide to harnessing the universal principles for success. It provides anecdotes and insights on a wide range of keys to success, including how to seize opportunity amid crisis, manage your network, communicate effectively, and take full advantage of social media to bolster your image.
A leader in the sphere of public relations and the founder of The Dilenschneider Group, which provides strategic advice to Fortune 500 companies and leading figures around the world—with experience in everything from mergers and acquisitions to government affairs and international media—Robert Dilenschneider writes with experience and authority to help readers acquire and amplify their power.
"An inspiring primer on navigating one’s life with self-knowledge and integrity."
ENLIGHTENMENT
Short Squeez Picks
DAILY VISUAL
It’s Going Down - WeWork
WeWork bond price
Source: Axios
DAILY ACUMEN
Embrace Differences
You know how sometimes we're like magnets for offense? Yeah, our ego's just doing its thing, trying to shield us and our beliefs. But, heads up: our brains are sneaky.
They'll make us believe we're on the right side of things, even when we're totally off base. So, when you feel that prick of annoyance, hit the pause button and really listen.
Communication mess-ups? Usually just a mix-up in perspectives. Let's swap judgement for acceptance and celebrate our differences. Remember, not taking things to heart? That's pretty much your inner superhero showing up.
MEME-A-PALOOZA
Memes of the Day
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